Document summary
Due to numerous political incentives, especially relating to the Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG), the renewables share in Germany energy mix has increased sixfold since 1997, with regard to both primary energy consumption (from 2% in 1997 to roughly 12% in 2013) and electricity generation (from a good 4% to 24%). This report explores scenarios for Germany energy mix and related policies. The electricity contribution of fossil fuels will drop to 40% by 2035 from 56.5% in 2013. Under coal-friendly conditions (scenario 1) this share will drop by “just” 12 points to 33% by 2035. If, however, the environmental and political conditions shift more strongly “in favour of gas” (scenario 2), coal would decline by no fewer than 17 points to 28%. Scenario 2 in particular would also feed through to the PEC, as gas would generate fresh impetus in the heating market and mobility.