You've Been Hacked! – Global Cybersecurity Primer


Authors
Beijia Ma, Sarbjit Nahal, and Felix Tran

Research Organisation
Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Report Date
Sept. 3, 2015

Document summary

This primer sets out the challenges and opportunities offered by cybersecurity.

There are 80-90mn+ cybersecurity events per year, with close to 400 new threats every minute, and up to 70% of attacks going undetected. All companies are being hit: finance & insurance is the most targeted sector, followed by ICT, manufacturing and retail. Cybersecurity has become a homeland security threat with rapid growth in attacks against critical infrastructure and manufacturing. We believe cybersecurity poses a key threat to the three pillars of creative disruption: the Internet of Things (IoT), the Sharing Economy and Online Services.

The average cost of cybercrimes for US companies reached a record US$12.7mn in 2014, with cybercrime costing the global economy up to US$575bn annually. Cyberattacks are the #1 source of economic assaults against governments, and the #1 source of IP theft for corporates. The rise in disruptive technologies means that we are facing a potential worst-case “Cybergeddon” scenario where the ‘bad guy’ has the permanent advantage. Cybercrime extracts up to 20% of the value created by the internet, meaning that as much as US$3tn of global economic value could be at risk by 2020E.

The global cybersecurity solutions market is estimated at US$75-77bn in 2015 and forecast to reach US$170bn by 2020E. The primer highlights multiple entry points for investors wishing to play the cybersecurity theme. A list of c50 global stocks covered by BofAML that have exposure to cybersecurity-related solutions is also presented.

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