Connecting The Dots: Energy Transition Scenarios And Credit Quality


Authors
Rick Lord

Research Organisation
Trucost S&P Global

Report Date
Oct. 31, 2018

Document summary

This comprehensive report identifies the material risks and opportunities that high emitting companies, and by extension their lenders and creditors, are increasingly being recognized as facing with respect to the energy transition.

Key aspects of these future developments are subject to significant uncertainty and are addressed in this paper through the use of scenario analysis. The exploratory findings described in this report indicate a wide range of impacts of varying magnitude on creditworthiness from transition risks depending on the particular company assessed, across both industries and regions.

This suggests the potential emergence of winners and losers within industries, and an importance for investors and creditors to better understand the implications over medium- and long-time horizons, in addition to the more short-term nature of financial analyses commonly used in debt and equity markets.

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